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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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Stocks knocked by earnings reality check; dollar firm

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks knocked by earnings reality check; dollar firm Grim ASML outlook hits chip stocks Luxury giant LVMH result disappoints, cites weak China spending Dollar near two-month high on measured rate-cut bets Updates prices at 1200 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks fell on Wednesday after gloomy results from European heavyweights LVMH LVMH.PA and tech company ASML ASML.AS dented sentiment, while the dollar gained as investors banked on a more moderate decl
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British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates prices at 1120 GMT By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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FX traders could be on the cusp of taking dollar higher

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders could be on the cusp of taking dollar higher Oct 16 (Reuters) - FX traders should be on the cusp of taking the U.S. dollar much higher in coming sessions, as fundamental factors underpin and key technical levels are overcome. The greenback has been underpinned as traders priced out rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and included a potential election win by former President Donald Trump - seen as a dollar positive - in their thinking .
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Stocks stunned by ASML curveball, pound plunges

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Stocks stunned by ASML curveball, pound plunges A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan World markets struggled to find a footing on Wednesday after Europe's ASML ASML.AS sideswiped the global chip sector late yesterday with a surprisingly weak orders outlook and investors prayed the flub was a one-off as third-quarter earnings updates stream in.
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The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be

BUZZ-COMMENT-The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be Sterling might be in for a far from merry Christmas if the probability of the Bank of England delivering three or more consecutive interest rate cuts, beginning in November, continues to grow. Markets currently see a material chance of the BoE reducing rates in December and February, in addition to the 25 basis point cut to 4.75% expected on Nov.
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Stocks slide in reality check from big cap earnings; dollar firm

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slide in reality check from big cap earnings; dollar firm Grim ASML outlook hits chip stocks Luxury giant LVMH result disappoints, cites weak China spending Dollar near two-month high on measured rate-cut bets Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0835 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks fell on Wednesday after gloomy results from European heavyweights LVMH LVMH.PA and tech company ASML ASML.AS dented sentiment, while the dollar gained as investo
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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China's policies bigger threat to yuan than Trump

BUZZ-COMMENT-China's policies bigger threat to yuan than Trump Oct 16 (Reuters) - Policies intended to boost China's ailing economy are a bigger threat to the yuan than the risk that Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election and sparks a trade war. While a trade war could hurt China's economy, Trump hasn't won yet, but the stimulus measures that China has already taken to support its economy are undermining its currency and may do more.
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British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Refiles to add dropped FOREX tag, no changes to text By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation

Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation Adds analyst comment in paragraph 5, updates prices at 0626 GMT LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The pound dropped on Wednesday after data showing British inflation slowed more than expected in September, making it easier for the Bank of England to cut interest rates further this year. The pound dropped 0.5% on the dollar to $1.30075, having been flat before the data.
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Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates at 0552 GMT By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on Wednesday, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest interest rate cuts and a rise in betting odds for a second Donald Trump presidency.
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Plunging UK inflation spurs rate cut bets, offers budget relief for Reeves

UPDATE 3-Plunging UK inflation spurs rate cut bets, offers budget relief for Reeves UK CPI slows to 1.7% in Sept from 2.2% Sterling slumps as investors bet more on BoE rate cuts Core, services measures also come in below forecasts Data offers modest help for UK's Reeves ahead of budget Adds fresh economist quote paras 6-7, details and background By Andy Bruce and William Schomberg Oct 16 (Reuters) - British inflation slowed sharply last month and key price gauges watched by the Bank of England a
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Chip stocks drag Asian markets lower; China shares volatile

GLOBAL MARKETS-Chip stocks drag Asian markets lower; China shares volatile Dour ASML outlook tank chip stocks Investors await China's property market-focused briefing Luxury giant LVMH result disappoints, cites weak China spending Dollar hangs near two-month high on measured rate-cut bets Updates at 0515 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Asian equities fell on Wednesday after a disappointing outlook from Europe's biggest tech firm ASML ASML.AS dragged down chip stocks , while e
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Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation

Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The pound dropped on Wednesday after data showing British inflation slowed by more than expected in September, making it easier for the Bank of England to cut interest rates further. The pound dropped 0.4% on the dollar to $1.3019, having been flat before the data.
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Sell EUR/JPY, buy GBP/JPY as rate expectations shift?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sell EUR/JPY, buy GBP/JPY as rate expectations shift? Oct 16 (Reuters) - Recent market moves and shifting central bank expectations suggest EUR/JPY could be a good sell and GBP/JPY potentially a buy. There is now a growing view that the European Central Bank could be more dovish than the U.S. Federal Reserve and in contrast to the still hawkish-leaning Bank of Japan.
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Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook

FOREX-Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slumped on Wednesday as scepticism grew about top trading partner China's stimulus, while the greenback hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on wagers U.S. interest rate cuts will be gradual.
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US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift

FOREX-US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift U.S. rate futures price in nearly 100% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases Dollar initially falls on news of easing Middle East tension Adds new comments, graphic, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged higher against most major currencies on Tuesday, resuming the latest uptrend that took it to more than two-month highs fueled by expectations the Feder
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US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market Oct 15 (Reuters) - The dollar traded mixed Tuesday with the pound gaining ground following a solid U.K. employment report while slumping oil and a weaker yuan weighed on commodity currencies. U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened after the New York Fed's monthly gauge of factory activity unexpectedly fell to negative 11.9 in October from a positive reading a month earlier.
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US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook

FOREX-US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook Recasts, adds new comment, byline, NEW YORK dateline, bullets, FX table, updates prices FX market yet to price in election uncertainty, analyst says U.S. rate futures price in 90% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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