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US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data

FOREX-US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data U.S. dollar hits fresh 10-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Recasts, adds new comment, bullets, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates prices at 1120 GMT By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Refiles to add dropped FOREX tag, no changes to text By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates at 0552 GMT By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on Wednesday, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest interest rate cuts and a rise in betting odds for a second Donald Trump presidency.
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Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook

FOREX-Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slumped on Wednesday as scepticism grew about top trading partner China's stimulus, while the greenback hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on wagers U.S. interest rate cuts will be gradual.
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US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift

FOREX-US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift U.S. rate futures price in nearly 100% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases Dollar initially falls on news of easing Middle East tension Adds new comments, graphic, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged higher against most major currencies on Tuesday, resuming the latest uptrend that took it to more than two-month highs fueled by expectations the Feder
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Canadian dollar holds near 10-week low after inflation miss

CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar holds near 10-week low after inflation miss Loonie hits its weakest since Aug. 6 at 1.3838 Canada's annual inflation rate slows to 1.6% Chances of a 50-basis-point cut rise to 74% Price of U.S. oil settles 4.4% lower By Fergal Smith TORONTO, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar steadied near a 10-week low against its U.S.
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US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook

FOREX-US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook Recasts, adds new comment, byline, NEW YORK dateline, bullets, FX table, updates prices FX market yet to price in election uncertainty, analyst says U.S. rate futures price in 90% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Dovish CPI backs larger BoC cut

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dovish CPI backs larger BoC cut Oct 15 (Reuters) - After a dovish CPI report, the case for a larger cut by the Bank of Canada at its October meeting has increased, with the market now seeing a 69% chance of a 50bp cut, up from a 50/50 split pre-CPI, according to LSEG data. The recent jobs report had surprised to the topside of expectations and thus leaning in favor of a 25bp cut.
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FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast Another day of FX consolidation and limited volatility which keeps the pressure on FX option implied volatility . EUR/USD tested below 1.0900 but lacked the impetus needed to excite the FX options market. The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, so it would take a surprise hold to reignite related FX volatility.
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Canada's annual inflation rate eases to 1.6% in September

INSTANT VIEW-Canada's annual inflation rate eases to 1.6% in September Adds more comments TORONTO, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate slowed more than expected to 1.6% in September, mainly on cheaper gasoline, but indicators of underlying price pressures held steady, data showed on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast the inflation rate would cool to 1.8% from 2.0% in August.
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CANADA Canadian dollar weakens, benchmark yield slips

CANADA FX DEBT - Canadian dollar weakens, benchmark yield slips The Canadian dollar weakened against the greenback on Tuesday, and the yield on benchmark government debt slipped. The loonie CAD= was trading 0.2% lower at C$1.3825 to the greenback, or 72.33 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3791 to 1.3838. Canadian government 10-year bond yields CA10YT=RR fell 5.8 basis points to 3.155%.
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Canada's inflation eases to 1.6%, ups chances of 50 bps rate cut next week

UPDATE 3-Canada's inflation eases to 1.6%, ups chances of 50 bps rate cut next week Easing of inflation led by drop in gasoline prices Measures of core inflation remained same as last month Money markets see 67% chance of 50 bp rate cut next week Updates with market bets, context, bond yields By Promit Mukherjee and Ismail Shakil OTTAWA, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate slowed more than expected to 1.6% in September, data showed on Tuesday, prompting markets to increase bets of
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Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh policy outlook

FOREX-Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh policy outlook Updates at 1120 GMT By Samuel Indyk and Ankur Banerjee LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched near it highest in more than two months against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term.
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TSX futures slip as investors await domestic inflation data

CANADA STOCKS-TSX futures slip as investors await domestic inflation data Oct 15 (Reuters) - Futures tied to Canada's main stock index fell on Tuesday due to lower crude prices, with investors returning from a long weekend and adopting a cautious tone ahead of key domestic inflation data. December futures on the S&P/TSX index SXFcv1 were down 0.3% at 6:01 a.m.
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Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh Fed outlook

FOREX-Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh Fed outlook Updates at 0823 GMT By Samuel Indyk and Ankur Banerjee LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched near it highest in more than two months against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term. A string of U.S.
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Dollar hangs near two-month high, yen nudges 150/dlr

FOREX-Dollar hangs near two-month high, yen nudges 150/dlr Updates at 0501 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, pinning the yen closer to the key 150 per dollar level.
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Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150/dlr

FOREX-Dollar at over two-month high, yen near 150/dlr By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, while the yen inched closer to the key 150 per dollar level. The euro EUR=EBS was steady in early Asian hours but close to its lowest level since Aug.
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