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US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data

FOREX-US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data U.S. dollar hits fresh 10-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Recasts, adds new comment, bullets, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates prices at 1120 GMT By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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Hedging a Trump victory with FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-Hedging a Trump victory with FX options Oct 16 (Reuters) - With the U.S. election in just three weeks and former President Donald Trump regaining a lead in the polls, FX option dealers report increased demand for options to hedge the risk of a Trump victory. Societe Generale think AUD/USD would be the most at risk from a Trump win and in a recent client note, are highlighting three trades to hedge that risk.
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British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Refiles to add dropped FOREX tag, no changes to text By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates at 0552 GMT By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on Wednesday, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest interest rate cuts and a rise in betting odds for a second Donald Trump presidency.
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Debt boom hits pause Down Under as US election looms

Debt boom hits pause Down Under as US election looms AUD debts hit YTD record near A$270 bln Pandemic refinancing drives sales; demand strong Bankers see slowdown into US election By Tom Westbrook SYDNEY, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Australian dollar debt sales, running at the fastest clip on record, are starting to hit the brakes as capital markets hunker down for the U.S.
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NZ dlr hits 2-month low as benign inflation strengthens bets on outsized rate cuts

NZ dlr hits 2-month low as benign inflation strengthens bets on outsized rate cuts SYDNEY, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar slipped to a two-month low and bonds rallied on Wednesday as soft inflation readings bolstered bets for aggressive monetary easing, which also dragged its Australian counterpart lower. New Zealand's consumer price index(CPI ) rose 0.6% in the third quarter, below forecasts of a 0.7% increase.
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Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook

FOREX-Aussie hit by China stimulus scepticism; US dollar firm on Fed outlook By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars slumped on Wednesday as scepticism grew about top trading partner China's stimulus, while the greenback hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on wagers U.S. interest rate cuts will be gradual.
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Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

UPDATE 1-Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 16 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8,318.40 +65.60 NZX 50** 12,840.77 +74.02 DJIA 42,740.42 -324.80 NIKKEI** 39,910.55 +304.75 Nasdaq 18,315.52 -187.17 FTSE** 8,249.28 -43.38 S&P 500 5,815.26 -44.59 Hang Seng** 20,318.79 -774.08 SPI 200 Fut 8,319 -32 STI** 3,595.47 -0.44 SSEC** 3,201.2919 -83.0306 KOSPI** 2,633.45 +10.16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bo
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US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift

FOREX-US dollar continues uptrend as Fed policy provides lift U.S. rate futures price in nearly 100% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases Dollar initially falls on news of easing Middle East tension Adds new comments, graphic, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged higher against most major currencies on Tuesday, resuming the latest uptrend that took it to more than two-month highs fueled by expectations the Feder
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US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market Oct 15 (Reuters) - The dollar traded mixed Tuesday with the pound gaining ground following a solid U.K. employment report while slumping oil and a weaker yuan weighed on commodity currencies. U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened after the New York Fed's monthly gauge of factory activity unexpectedly fell to negative 11.9 in October from a positive reading a month earlier.
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Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 16 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8,318.40 +65.60 NZX 50** 12,840.77 +74.02 DJIA 42,785.13 -278.65 NIKKEI** 39,910.55 +304.75 Nasdaq 18,335.80 -169.73 FTSE** 8,249.28 -43.38 S&P 500 5,823.70 -36.15 Hang Seng** 20,318.79 -774.08 SPI 200 Fut 8,310 -42 STI** 3,595.47 -0.44 SSEC** 3,201.2919 -83.0306 KOSPI** 2,633.45 +10.16 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds
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US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook

FOREX-US dollar rally pauses as markets assess Fed policy outlook Recasts, adds new comment, byline, NEW YORK dateline, bullets, FX table, updates prices FX market yet to price in election uncertainty, analyst says U.S. rate futures price in 90% chance of 25-bp cut in November Yen weakness versus dollar eases By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss, Samuel Indyk NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast Another day of FX consolidation and limited volatility which keeps the pressure on FX option implied volatility . EUR/USD tested below 1.0900 but lacked the impetus needed to excite the FX options market. The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, so it would take a surprise hold to reignite related FX volatility.
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Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh policy outlook

FOREX-Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh policy outlook Updates at 1120 GMT By Samuel Indyk and Ankur Banerjee LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched near it highest in more than two months against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term.
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Explainer - Implied Volatility: a window into FX market sentiment

BUZZ-Explainer - Implied Volatility: a window into FX market sentiment Oct 15 (Reuters) - Implied volatility is a key component of an FX option premium, but what is it and how is it useful to the wider FX market? FX options are forward looking and often used to hedge or speculate on future scenarios in the FX spot market. The probability of any particular scenario happening is used to determine the option's cost - like an insurance premium.
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Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh Fed outlook

FOREX-Dollar steady near two-month high as markets weigh Fed outlook Updates at 0823 GMT By Samuel Indyk and Ankur Banerjee LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched near it highest in more than two months against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term. A string of U.S.
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Dollar hangs near two-month high, yen nudges 150/dlr

FOREX-Dollar hangs near two-month high, yen nudges 150/dlr Updates at 0501 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was perched at an over two-month high against major currencies on Tuesday, spurred by wagers the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest rate cuts in the near term, pinning the yen closer to the key 150 per dollar level.
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