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US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data

FOREX-US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data U.S. dollar hits fresh 10-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Recasts, adds new comment, bullets, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be

BUZZ-COMMENT-The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be Sterling might be in for a far from merry Christmas if the probability of the Bank of England delivering three or more consecutive interest rate cuts, beginning in November, continues to grow. Markets currently see a material chance of the BoE reducing rates in December and February, in addition to the 25 basis point cut to 4.75% expected on Nov.
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FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low Oct 16 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank is almost unanimously expected to cut rates by 25bps to 3.25% on Thursday. An increase in related FX option premiums shows the market is not complacent about the potential for increased FX volatility, but expects it to be limited. Overnight options expire on the next working day at 10 a.m.
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Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation

Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation Adds analyst comment in paragraph 5, updates prices at 0626 GMT LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The pound dropped on Wednesday after data showing British inflation slowed more than expected in September, making it easier for the Bank of England to cut interest rates further this year. The pound dropped 0.5% on the dollar to $1.30075, having been flat before the data.
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