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US stocks mixed as cyclicals take the lead, crude weakness persists

GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks mixed as cyclicals take the lead, crude weakness persists Morgan Stanley beats estimates, stock touch record high Grim ASML outlook hits chip stocks Crude extends its slide Updates to 10:52 EDT By Stephen Culp NEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks were mixed on Wednesday and gold gained strength as bank earnings continued to beat expectations while fears of softening global demand weakened megacap growth stocks and quelled investor risk appetite.
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US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data

FOREX-US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data U.S. dollar hits fresh 10-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Recasts, adds new comment, bullets, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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EUR/USD may fall further on US yield, inflation market influences

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD may fall further on US yield, inflation market influences Oct 16 (Reuters) - EUR/USD hit a fresh 2-month low and neared the 200-DMA Wednesday before struggling back to flat as shorts appeared to lock in profit ahead of ECB risk, but the recent down trend may extend if U.S. yield and inflation breakeven trends persist. The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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Stocks knocked by earnings reality check; dollar firm

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks knocked by earnings reality check; dollar firm Grim ASML outlook hits chip stocks Luxury giant LVMH result disappoints, cites weak China spending Dollar near two-month high on measured rate-cut bets Updates prices at 1200 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks fell on Wednesday after gloomy results from European heavyweights LVMH LVMH.PA and tech company ASML ASML.AS dented sentiment, while the dollar gained as investors banked on a more moderate decl
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British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates prices at 1120 GMT By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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High bar for ECB to out-dove markets can lift euro

BUZZ-COMMENT-High bar for ECB to out-dove markets can lift euro Oct 16 (Reuters) - Current ECB pricing shows that markets have near-enough fully baked in a 25bp rate cut at the October and December meeting. As a result, there is high bar for the ECB to out-dove the market at the October decision. The run-up trade into October decision had been for EUR/USD to head lower, though given market pricing, the risk-reward in maintaining downside in EUR/USD over the ECB meeting has limited appeal, partic
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FX traders could be on the cusp of taking dollar higher

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders could be on the cusp of taking dollar higher Oct 16 (Reuters) - FX traders should be on the cusp of taking the U.S. dollar much higher in coming sessions, as fundamental factors underpin and key technical levels are overcome. The greenback has been underpinned as traders priced out rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and included a potential election win by former President Donald Trump - seen as a dollar positive - in their thinking .
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Russian rouble continues to weaken vs US dollar

Russian rouble continues to weaken vs US dollar MOSCOW, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble continued to weaken against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday but was flat against China's yuan, reflecting the global weakness of the Chinese currency and the dollar's strength. By 0900 GMT, the rouble CNYRUB= was flat at 13.35 against the yuan in the over-the-counter (OTC) market, according to data compiled by LSEG.
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FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low Oct 16 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank is almost unanimously expected to cut rates by 25bps to 3.25% on Thursday. An increase in related FX option premiums shows the market is not complacent about the potential for increased FX volatility, but expects it to be limited. Overnight options expire on the next working day at 10 a.m.
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ASML warning shocks global chip investors

ASML warning shocks global chip investors Customers delay new plants and upgrades, curbing demand Share price reached all-time high in July Suffered biggest selloff in two decades on Tuesday ASML bosses to address analyst call By Toby Sterling and Nathan Vifflin AMSTERDAM, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Investors and analysts are reviewing their assessments of computer chip equipment maker ASML ASML.AS , they said on Wednesday, after the company cut 2025 financial guidance , citing weakness in markets other
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Stocks slide in reality check from big cap earnings; dollar firm

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slide in reality check from big cap earnings; dollar firm Grim ASML outlook hits chip stocks Luxury giant LVMH result disappoints, cites weak China spending Dollar near two-month high on measured rate-cut bets Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0835 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks fell on Wednesday after gloomy results from European heavyweights LVMH LVMH.PA and tech company ASML ASML.AS dented sentiment, while the dollar gained as investo
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EM stocks down with chips leading declines, FX muted

EMERGING MARKETS-EM stocks down with chips leading declines, FX muted Fitch upgrades Barbados to 'B+' ECB rate decision on Thursday EM stocks down 0.6%, FX flat By Shashwat Chauhan Oct 16 (Reuters) - A gauge of emerging market stocks dipped on Wednesday as chips-heavy markets in Taiwan and South Korea slipped following a dour earnings update from Dutch firm ASML, while most currencies remained in limbo.
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Currencies ease as dollar firms, markets await ECB rate decision

CEE MARKETS-Currencies ease as dollar firms, markets await ECB rate decision By Anita Komuves BUDAPEST, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Central European currencies were a touch weaker on Wednesday, hovering near recently hit lows, as the U.S. dollar strengthened and investors awaited a rate decision and comments from the European Central Bank (ECB). The Hungarian forint EURHUF= was 0.06% softer versus the euro at 400.3, trading on the weaker side of the psychologically important level of 400 once again after
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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China's policies bigger threat to yuan than Trump

BUZZ-COMMENT-China's policies bigger threat to yuan than Trump Oct 16 (Reuters) - Policies intended to boost China's ailing economy are a bigger threat to the yuan than the risk that Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election and sparks a trade war. While a trade war could hurt China's economy, Trump hasn't won yet, but the stimulus measures that China has already taken to support its economy are undermining its currency and may do more.
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ECB could have curbed inflation with earlier rate hikes, DIW says

ECB could have curbed inflation with earlier rate hikes, DIW says German economic institute critical of ECB moves Earlier hikes would have kept inflation at 3% ECB policymakers say bank caught up with large moves BERLIN, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank has fuelled inflation in the monetary union with policy that is too hesitant, according to a study by the German Institute for Economic Research DIW, seen exclusively by Reuters on Wednesday.
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Hedging a Trump victory with FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-Hedging a Trump victory with FX options Oct 16 (Reuters) - With the U.S. election in just three weeks and former President Donald Trump regaining a lead in the polls, FX option dealers report increased demand for options to hedge the risk of a Trump victory. Societe Generale think AUD/USD would be the most at risk from a Trump win and in a recent client note, are highlighting three trades to hedge that risk.
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British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Refiles to add dropped FOREX tag, no changes to text By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation

Pound falls after cooler-than-expected British inflation Adds analyst comment in paragraph 5, updates prices at 0626 GMT LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The pound dropped on Wednesday after data showing British inflation slowed more than expected in September, making it easier for the Bank of England to cut interest rates further this year. The pound dropped 0.5% on the dollar to $1.30075, having been flat before the data.
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