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市场新闻

Reuters - 4小时前

FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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Reuters - 10小时前

Hedging a Trump victory with FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-Hedging a Trump victory with FX options Oct 16 (Reuters) - With the U.S. election in just three weeks and former President Donald Trump regaining a lead in the polls, FX option dealers report increased demand for options to hedge the risk of a Trump victory. Societe Generale think AUD/USD would be the most at risk from a Trump win and in a recent client note, are highlighting three trades to hedge that risk.
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Reuters - 1天前

FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast Another day of FX consolidation and limited volatility which keeps the pressure on FX option implied volatility . EUR/USD tested below 1.0900 but lacked the impetus needed to excite the FX options market. The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, so it would take a surprise hold to reignite related FX volatility.
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Reuters - 2天前

FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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Reuters - 5天前

FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive has been lacking and leaves dealers to manage time decay costs whilst retaining protection from impending risks. This scenario is reflected in FX option premium and trade flows. The USD has staged a recovery from its late September lows as the extent of the U.S.
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Reuters - 5天前

Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week Oct 11 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can bolster nearby support and resistance levels, whilst having a magnetic effect on FX price action, and there are plenty to note on Friday and the week ahead. The biggest nearby EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0945-50 on 1.5 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1000 on 3.3 billion euros, Wednesday at 1.0950-55 on 2.7 billion euros and on Thursday between 1.0975-90 on
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Reuters - 6天前

FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence Price action in FX options suggests traders are anticipating a period of lower FX volatility before a resurgence in early November. Implied volatility for options expiring through the end of October is relatively low and sellers have been dominating the fairly limited trade flows. However, benchmark 1-month expiry options include the U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

Australian dollar extends losing streak, kiwi endures rate pain

Australian dollar extends losing streak, kiwi endures rate pain SYDNEY, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar extended its losing streak on Thursday as the lack of China stimulus news and shifting U.S. rate cut expectations turned against it, while the kiwi nursed heavy losses on the odds of even larger rate cuts. The Aussie AUD=D3 held at $0.6716, having lost 0.4% overnight in the fifth straight session of declines which have seen it hit as low as $0.6708 .
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks FX option implied volatility is broadly heavy as the USD consolidates its recent recovery and leaves G10 FX spot within familiar ranges without any real break-out catalysts. There has been an increase in FX volatility risk premium for USD call options as shown by near dated risk reversals in most of the major pairings, but those gains have since stalled.
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Reuters - 1周前

NZD/USD options on high alert for RBNZ volatility

BUZZ-COMMENT-NZD/USD options on high alert for RBNZ volatility Oct 8 (Reuters) - Overnight expiry options now factor in Wednesday's Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision, with a significant spike in NZD related premiums reflecting the anticipated surge in FX volatility following the announcement. FX implied volatility stands in for the unknown, yet key parameter of the option premium - actual/realised volatility.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - A firmer USD trade is lacking conviction

BUZZ-FX options wrap - A firmer USD trade is lacking conviction Oct 7 (Reuters) - The USD has recovered more ground since Friday's U.S. payroll data beat, and although FX options are primed for further USD gains, they lack the conviction for an extended move. Banks note USD demand on dips, especially EUR/USD in the mid 1.09s , which is also attracting huge FX option strike expiry hedging.
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Reuters - 1周前

Larger FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Larger FX option strike expiries this week Oct 7 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can add to any nearby support and resistance levels, whilst also having a magnetic effect on FX price action, and there are plenty on Monday and the rest of this week. Stand out EUR/USD strikes in the current vicinity are on Monday between 1.0950-60 on 3.1 billion euros and 1.0990-1.1000 on 1.6 billion euros.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - Wanting the USD and US election protection

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Wanting the USD and US election protection Options that give holders the right to buy U.S dollars were sought amid the USD recovery from new recent lows, and were a prudent bet given the Greenback has extended its gains since Friday's U.S. jobs data beat . The data and its revisions were much higher than expected, which has changed the narrative around the size and timing of impending U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

Australian dollar set for solid weekly gains on yen, kiwi

Australian dollar set for solid weekly gains on yen, kiwi SYDNEY, Oct 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar is headed for solid weekly gains on the Japanese yen and New Zealand's kiwi, although it retreated against the U.S. dollar as strong data there lessened the odds of another outsized Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The Aussie was enjoying the view at 100.5 yen AUDJPY=R , having rallied 2.5% so far this week and cleared a major hurdle at 99.85 yen.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX Options wrap: USD and premium gains warn of impending FX risks

BUZZ-FX Options wrap: USD and premium gains warn of impending FX risks FX option implied volatility remains underpinned by risk aversion as middle eastern tensions simmer and U.S. NFP, CPI and elections loom. The USD and FX option USD calls are in demand, with an increased premium for the latter. That's apparent when looking at benchmark 1-month expiry 25 delta risk reversal contracts for the USD against the major pairings, with EUR/USD up to 0.325 from 0.1 and GBP/USD to 0.5 from 0.15 USD calls
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fear gauges swing toward USD gains FX volatility measures are trading higher amid the latest USD recovery and remain alert for additional gains. Implied volatility was already higher to recognise the increased realised volatility risk from Friday's impending U.S. jobs data , with Tuesday's USD gains adding to nerves and prompting additional demand.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election

REFILE-BUZZ-FX options wrap: Volatility gains, value, EUR call, US election Adds chart Sub 1-month expiry FX option implied volatility has reached new recent highs to reflect the impending FX risk from Fed speakers and U.S. data, which culminates with Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Implied volatility setbacks are likely to remain limited ahead of the NFP, with benchmark 1-month options soon to reflect the perceived U.S.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY reversal, NFP risk, EUR struggle, GBP put The JPY reversed higher after Sanae Takaichi, a less BoJ-friendly LDP leadership and future PM contender, lost the election to Shigeru Ishiba, who is now set to become Japan's next Prime Minister. USD/JPY and its implied volatility fell on the JPY relief rally as topside hedges were pared.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning

BUZZ-FX options wrap - EUR topside, U.S. PCE risk, LDP JPY warning Sept 26 (Reuters) - There was no significant change to option implied volatility on Thursday, which remains just above levels seen at the start of the week. Overnight CHF-related implied volatility highlighted the uncertainty surrounding Thursday's SNB policy announcement , but a lesser 25bps cut helped to limit the FX reaction.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD put, EUR value, GBP cap, JPY fear, SNB A reluctance to build any significant short USD positions via USD put options could be highlighting a lack of conviction about deeper USD losses. EUR/USD is a case in point - testing above late August highs at 1.1201, but related implied volatility is only marginally higher and with limited demand or additional premium for topside strikes .
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