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市场新闻

Reuters - 4小时前

FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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Reuters - 15小时前

NZ dlr hits 2-month low as benign inflation strengthens bets on outsized rate cuts

NZ dlr hits 2-month low as benign inflation strengthens bets on outsized rate cuts SYDNEY, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar slipped to a two-month low and bonds rallied on Wednesday as soft inflation readings bolstered bets for aggressive monetary easing, which also dragged its Australian counterpart lower. New Zealand's consumer price index(CPI ) rose 0.6% in the third quarter, below forecasts of a 0.7% increase.
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Reuters - 22小时前

US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD on back foot in mixed market Oct 15 (Reuters) - The dollar traded mixed Tuesday with the pound gaining ground following a solid U.K. employment report while slumping oil and a weaker yuan weighed on commodity currencies. U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened after the New York Fed's monthly gauge of factory activity unexpectedly fell to negative 11.9 in October from a positive reading a month earlier.
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Reuters - 1天前

FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast Another day of FX consolidation and limited volatility which keeps the pressure on FX option implied volatility . EUR/USD tested below 1.0900 but lacked the impetus needed to excite the FX options market. The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, so it would take a surprise hold to reignite related FX volatility.
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Reuters - 1天前

Are options under-pricing US election risk to USD/JPY?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are options under-pricing US election risk to USD/JPY? Oct 15 (Reuters) - When comparing FX option volatility risk premiums with their fair value measures for expiry dates, which include the U.S. election on November 5, USD/JPY stands out as being potentially under-priced. FX volatility is a key, yet unknown parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand in.
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Reuters - 2天前

Australian, NZ dollars turn lower as yuan skids to one-month trough

Australian, NZ dollars turn lower as yuan skids to one-month trough SYDNEY, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars struggled to make new ground on Tuesday even as Wall Street soared to a record close, with sentiment still being weighed down by a lack of stimulus measures from China after a slew of lacklustre data. The Aussie AUD=D3 fell 0.2% at $0.6712, having fallen 0.4% overnight to as far as $0.67, the lowest in a month.
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Reuters - 2天前

US recap: EUR/USD falls as dollar continues climb

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD falls as dollar continues climb Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose in holiday-thinned trade on Monday, hitting a two-month high as haven currencies retreated, U.S. shares advanced and investors awaited this week's offering of economic data and U.S. corporate earnings. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said more rate cuts likely lie ahead as inflation approaches the U.S.
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Reuters - 2天前

FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Nowhere fast, election bid, USD hedge Shorter term expiry FX option implied volatility remains depressed to highlight a lack of short-term realised volatility expectations, with overnight/next day expiry option premiums hitting their lowest levels since July . Premium/break-even prices taken from overnight expiry implied volatility in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD, were at/below 25 USD pips on Monday's U.S.
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Reuters - 3天前

Australia, NZ dollars under pressure as China's fiscal stimulus disappoints

Australia, NZ dollars under pressure as China's fiscal stimulus disappoints SYDNEY, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars fell on Monday after Beijing's fiscal stimulus briefing lacked details and disappointed investors, although a tepid response in Chinese markets likely limited the downside. The Aussie AUD=D3 edged down 0.2% to $0.6736, having finished last week 0.7% lower as shifting U.S.
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Reuters - 5天前

US recap: EUR/USD pauses slide as dollar stalls after US data

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD pauses slide as dollar stalls after US data Oct 11 (Reuters) - The dollar index eased Friday amid profit-taking after a nine-day advance and lower short-term Treasury yields following a batch of soft U.S. data. U.S. producer prices were unchanged in September on a monthly basis and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for October unexpectedly fell.
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Reuters - 5天前

FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Balancing current FX with impending risks The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive has been lacking and leaves dealers to manage time decay costs whilst retaining protection from impending risks. This scenario is reflected in FX option premium and trade flows. The USD has staged a recovery from its late September lows as the extent of the U.S.
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Reuters - 5天前

Are options under-pricing US election risk to USD/JPY?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are options under-pricing US election risk to USD/JPY? Oct 11 (Reuters) - When comparing FX option volatility risk premiums with their fair value measures for expiry dates, which include the U.S. election on November 5, USD/JPY stands out as being potentially under-priced. FX volatility is a key, yet unknown parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand in.
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Reuters - 5天前

Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand out G10 FX option strike expiries next week Oct 11 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can bolster nearby support and resistance levels, whilst having a magnetic effect on FX price action, and there are plenty to note on Friday and the week ahead. The biggest nearby EUR/USD strikes on Monday are at 1.0945-50 on 1.5 billion euros, Tuesday at 1.1000 on 3.3 billion euros, Wednesday at 1.0950-55 on 2.7 billion euros and on Thursday between 1.0975-90 on
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Reuters - 6天前

Australia, NZ dollars set for a second week of losses, await China stimulus

Australia, NZ dollars set for a second week of losses, await China stimulus SYDNEY, Oct 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars are each poised to log a second straight week of declines, with their near-term outlook set to be determined by details of expected fiscal stimulus from Beijing and the impact of that stimulus on commodity prices.
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Reuters - 6天前

FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Falling FX volatility precedes a resurgence Price action in FX options suggests traders are anticipating a period of lower FX volatility before a resurgence in early November. Implied volatility for options expiring through the end of October is relatively low and sellers have been dominating the fairly limited trade flows. However, benchmark 1-month expiry options include the U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

Australian dollar extends losing streak, kiwi endures rate pain

Australian dollar extends losing streak, kiwi endures rate pain SYDNEY, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar extended its losing streak on Thursday as the lack of China stimulus news and shifting U.S. rate cut expectations turned against it, while the kiwi nursed heavy losses on the odds of even larger rate cuts. The Aussie AUD=D3 held at $0.6716, having lost 0.4% overnight in the fifth straight session of declines which have seen it hit as low as $0.6708 .
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Reuters - 1周前

US recap: EUR/USD softens as dollar rises for eighth day

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD softens as dollar rises for eighth day Oct 9 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose for an eighth day Wednesday as investor optimism propelled the S&P to a new record and lifted Treasury yields ahead of a U.S. consumer inflation report. The minutes of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting showed a "substantial majority" of officials supported an outsized half-point rate cut, but the initial move would not commit the central bank to any particular pace of rate reductio
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Reuters - 1周前

New Zealand dollar hits 7-week low as RBNZ steps up easing

New Zealand dollar hits 7-week low as RBNZ steps up easing SYDNEY, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar hit a seven-week low on Wednesday after the central bank stepped up policy easing with a half-point rate cut, sending bond yields lower. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand wrapped up its latest policy meeting by cutting the official cash rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%, after a quarter-point reduction in August.
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Reuters - 1周前

US recap: EUR/USD holds firm as oil slides, shares gain

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD holds firm as oil slides, shares gain Oct 8 (Reuters) - The dollar index was little changed Tuesday as U.S. shares surged amid slumping oil prices and lower Treasury 2-year yields ahead of consumer inflation data Thursday. The Norwegian krone lagged its G-10 counterparts as crude prices sank 4% after a Hezbollah leader signaled support for a negotiated ceasefire.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD path, RBNZ, U.S. election and Fed risks FX option implied volatility is broadly heavy as the USD consolidates its recent recovery and leaves G10 FX spot within familiar ranges without any real break-out catalysts. There has been an increase in FX volatility risk premium for USD call options as shown by near dated risk reversals in most of the major pairings, but those gains have since stalled.
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