Dollar buoyant, equities cautious ahead of China data
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Oct 18 (Reuters) -The dollar hovered close to an 11-week high versus major peers on Friday after robust U.S. economic data allowed for a more patient path of Federal Reserve easing.
Asian stocks were mixed, with Japan's Nikkei rallying amid a weaker yen, while other markets looked ahead cautiously to a barrage of top-tier Chinese economic data later in the day.
The U.S. currency was also buoyed by recent market contemplation of a potential election victory for Donald Trump, whose proposed tariffs and immigration policies are seen as inflationary. That also supported gold, which held close to the record high reached overnight.
The dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against six rivals including the euro and yen, held steady at 103.78 after climbing to 103.87 on Thursday for the first time since Aug. 2.
Overnight, data showed U.S. retail sales rose a stronger-than-expected 0.4% last month after an unrevised 0.1% gain in August. A separate report showed initial jobless claims dropped by 19,000 to a seasonally adjusted 241,000 last week.
Traders now have 74% odds of 50 basis points of interest-rate cuts over the Fed's remaining two meetings this year, down from 85.6% odds a day earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
"Robust retail sales data provided the Federal Reserve with greater flexibility in its rate path," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.com.
"Unlike the euro zone, the Fed does not need to adjust policy to support the economy."
The European Central Bank cut rates by a quarter point on Thursday, as expected, and four sources close to the matter told Reuters that policymakers were likely to cut again in December.
The euro EUR=EBS was flat at $1.08315 after dipping to $1.0811 in the previous session, the lowest since Aug. 2.
The dollar eased 0.15% to 150.02 yen JPY=EBS, after jumping to 150.32 yen overnight, piercing the psychological 150 barrier for the first time since Aug. 1.
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris' edge over Republican Donald Trump has narrowed from a late September lead of seven points to just three, Reuters/Ipsos polling shows. And the rivals are statistically tied in the seven crucial battleground states that will decide the race.
"The USD (is) well-positioned to extend its rally as it continues to price in a Donald Trump election victory," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.
Weakness in the yen helped lift Japanese stocks on Friday, with the Nikkei .N225 gaining 0.4%.
Equities around the rest of the region were weak though: Australia's benchmark .AXJO sagged 0.7% and South Korea's KOSPI .KS11 edged 0.05% lower.
Mainland Chinese and Hong Kong markets had yet to open.
Chinese growth and activity data is due at 0200 GMT, and is likely to show a slowdown that puts this year's economic growth target of around 5% at risk.
Beijing unveiled the biggest stimulus since the pandemic late last month, but investors have been frustrated by the lack of details offered by Chinese authorities in subsequent briefings.
Gold XAU= was steady at $2,693.02 per ounce, sticking close to the record $2,696.59 from overnight.
Crude oil futures inched higher on Friday, supported by a surprise drop in U.S. oil inventories and simmering Middle East tensions, but prices were headed for their biggest weekly loss in more than a month on worries of lower demand.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $74.61 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was at $70.84 a barrel, up 17 cents, or 0.2%.
World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Jacqueline Wong
免责声明: XM Group仅提供在线交易平台的执行服务和访问权限，并允许个人查看和/或使用网站或网站所提供的内容，但无意进行任何更改或扩展，也不会更改或扩展其服务和访问权限。所有访问和使用权限，将受下列条款与条例约束：(i) 条款与条例；(ii) 风险提示；以及(iii) 完整免责声明。请注意，网站所提供的所有讯息，仅限一般资讯用途。此外，XM所有在线交易平台的内容并不构成，也不能被用于任何未经授权的金融市场交易邀约和/或邀请。金融市场交易对于您的投资资本含有重大风险。
所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。
本网站上由XM和第三方供应商所提供的所有内容，包括意见、新闻、研究、分析、价格、其他资讯和第三方网站链接，皆保持不变，并作为一般市场评论所提供，而非投资性建议。所有在线交易平台所发布的资料，仅适用于教育/资讯类用途，不包含也不应被视为适用于金融、投资税或交易相关咨询和建议，或是交易价格纪录，或是任何金融商品或非应邀途径的金融相关优惠的交易邀约或邀请。请确保您已阅读并完全理解，XM非独立投资研究提示和风险提示相关资讯，更多详情请点击 这里。
