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Zloty approaches multi-month lows due to dollar pressure



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Zloty approaches multi-month lows due to dollar pressure</title></head><body>

PRAGUE, Oct 17 (Reuters) -Poland's zloty led losses in central Europe on Thursday, retreating close to two-month lows it hit earlier this month, as a firmer dollar continued to drag on the region ahead of an expected European Central Bank interest rate cut.

The ECB is likely to lower interest rates for a third time this year later in the day. At the same time, central banks in Hungary and the Czech Republic are showing more caution in easing campaigns started last year.

Expectations of a cut by the ECB have been a support factor for central Europe's currencies as lower euro zone rates create a more advantageous rate differential for the region.

But the dollar on Thursday also touched a multi-week high, on the back of a potential Donald Trump win at the upcoming U.S. election. That move cut into the risk appetite and put a drag on central Europe.

"The biggest issue here is the support, at least in polls, for Donald Trump," said Piotr Poplawski, senior economist at ING.

"This is something quite negative for emerging market currencies and the market started pricing in the whole Trump trade scenario. In this scenario we have the (United States) looking more isolationist."

The zloty EURPLN= bore the brunt, losing 0.5% to 4.32 to the euro and returning to the weak side of the psychological level of 4.30 after recent firming.

In Hungary, the forint EURHUF= steadied at 401.60 to the euro.

"The commentary from the ECB will be the key thing to watch later today, that can give some direction to the market," an FX trader in Budapest said.

Markets were also watching an economic conference in Budapest where Deputy Central Bank Governor Barnabas Virag is due to speak, only days before a central bank rate meeting scheduled for Oct. 22.

Virag last week flagged a likely pause in the easing of the bank's main interest rate - which remains the European Union's highest alongside Romania's - after an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and a shift in the U.S. rate outlook pushed the forint to 18-month lows beyond the big 400 per euro level.

The Czech crown EURCZK= was also treading water at softer levels after weakening this month, as it inched up 0.1% to 25.268 to the euro. Romania's leu EURRON= was a tad stronger at 4.974 to the euro.



CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1138 CET





CURRENCIES






Latest

Previous

Daily

Change



trade

close

change

in 2024

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.2680

25.2970

+0.11%

-2.24%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

401.6000

401.5500

-0.01%

-4.59%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.3200

4.2985

-0.50%

+0.57%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9740

4.9762

+0.04%

+0.01%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9400

117.0300

+0.08%

+0.26%

Note: daily change

calculated from



1800 CET










Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




close

change

in 2024

Prague

.PX

1616.82

1612.5200

+0.27%

+14.34%

Budapest

.BUX

75212.10

75170.39

+0.06%

+24.07%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2329.28

2341.00

-0.50%

-0.59%

Bucharest

.BETI

17464.76

17485.07

-0.12%

+13.62%











Spread

Daily





vs Bund

change in

Czech Republic





spread

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4010

0.0370

+121bps

+1bps

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.6580

0.0320

+159bps

+0bps

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.9330

0.0630

+172bps

+3bps

Poland






2-year

PL2YT=RR

5.0010

0.0310

+281bps

+0bps

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.3840

0.0960

+332bps

+6bps

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.6120

0.0280

+340bps

-1bps








FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS






3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.77

3.48

3.29

4.13

Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.17

5.90

5.68

6.35

Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.81

5.49

5.06

5.86

Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************












Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague, Anita Komuves in Budapest, Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk and Alan Charlish in Warsaw; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets:
All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/

Spot FX rates
Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX=
Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX=

Other news and reports
World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE
Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY
Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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