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XM市场研究 - 4小时前Neutral

Wall Street greets Q3 earnings season with record highs – Stock Markets

Shares on Wall Street extend record streak as earnings get into full swingBut trading remains choppy amid elections, geopolitical and earnings risksAnother record highThe S&P 500 notched up its 46th record close of the year on Monday, sealing a positive start to the week as the new earnings season slowly heats up. Initial forecasts for Q3 put the earnings growth rate at 4.1%, but that figure could well rise as 79% of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten their earni
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XM市场研究 - 7小时前Bearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retests 1.3000 key level

GBPUSD remains in ascending channelStochastic and RSI in neutral-to-negative momentumGBPUSD has been in a bearish corrective mode during the last three weeks, diving beneath the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs).Entering the 1.3000 area has been a struggle over the past five days, and there might be another tough obstacle near the medium-term uptrend line at 1.2950 with the technical indicators showing some neutral-to-bearish signs.
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XM市场研究 - 9小时前Neutral

Cryptos rally but outlook remains clouded – Crypto News

Cryptos trade higher, driven by US equitiesSpot ETFs inflow confirm investors’ strong appetiteUS pre-election rhetoric supports cryptosBitcoin breaks above its recent trading range Cryptocurrencies are in demand again The cryptocurrency market is enjoying a rather strong week with bitcoin climbing to the highest level since late July and trading around 35% higher from the August 5 trough. The current move comes amidst a mixed environment with the markets experiencing a strong dollar, which
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XM市场研究 - 9小时前Bullish

Gold surpasses previous top of 2,673MACD and RSI extend bullish structureGold prices are moving higher again today after bouncing off the 2,600 round number with the potential to hit the all-time high of 2,685.51. In the meantime, the momentum indicators are supportive of this upleg. The RSI is moving higher, a tad below the 70 level. More importantly, the MACD oscillator has managed to edge above its trigger line while holding above the zero level.Should the bulls still feel thirsty, they woul
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XM市场研究 - 10小时前Neutral

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidanceDollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflationOil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh recordChip and AI stocks take a diveEquity markets suffered a setback on Tuesday after Dutch semiconductor giant, ASML, sparked panic about the demand outlook for chips when it accidentally published its earnings report a day early.
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XM市场研究 - 11小时前Neutral

Technical Analysis – USDJPY faces a pass or fail test

USDJPY extends consolidation around August’s barTechnical signals weaken, cannot warrant a bullish trend reversalUS retail sales, jobless claims due on Thursday at 12:30 GMTUSDJPY reached a two-month high of 149.96, but it couldn’t hold its strength above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 149.40 on Tuesday.Over the past few days, the pair has been struggling for a bullish breakout, leaving investors wondering whether it’s time for a negative pivot. The slowdown in the techni
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XM市场研究 - 12小时前Bearish

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD opens the way for more losses

NZDUSD hovers beneath 200-day SMAStochastic and RSI maintain downside momentumNZDUSD has found strong resistance near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6090, diving towards the previous bottom of 0.6050.According to technical oscillators, they both confirm the recent bearish structure. The stochastic is heading south, ready to post a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines, while the RSI is pointing slightly down below the neutral threshold of 50.Diving further, the price could t
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Quick Brief – Canadian CPI opens the door for 50 bps rate cut by BoC

Canadian CPI falls to 1.6% y/yBoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bpsLoonie loses significant groundCanada's annual inflation rate decreased to 1.6% in September, down from 2% in the previous month, the lowest since February 2021 and below the market consensus of 1.8%. It was the second consecutive period in which CPI inflation fell on or below the Bank of Canada's target of 2%, endorsing expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 50 bps during the next policy meeting. Infla
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – USDJPY eases after testing 150.00

USDJPY needs more boost to change the medium-term view to bullishRSI ticks down, but MACD is still in upside phaseUSDJPY has found significant resistance at the 150.00 psychological level during yesterday’s session, driving the price lower toward the 149.00 level.Technically, the RSI indicator, which lies above the neutral threshold of 50, is pointing downwards; however, the MACD oscillator is extending its bullish momentum above its trigger and zero lines.In case of more bullish pressure, the
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – Netflix stock retreats somewhat ahead of earnings release

Netflix remains in a bullish mode in long-term viewMACD and RSI lose steamNetflix stock is set to release its earnings on October 17 while the price added more than 25% following the rebound from the 590 support level, taking the market towards a fresh high of 734. Currently, the price is retreating, meeting the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 710.From a technical perspective, the MACD oscillator is losing some momentum, dropping beneath its trigger line above the zero level.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD holds near September’s support zone after mixed jobs data

GBPUSD stays directionless near September’s baseTechnical signals cannot warrant an upside reversalGBPUSD faced mild selling pressure but held its footing above September’s floor of 1.3000-1.3040 after the UK employment survey showed better-than-expected jobs data in August and an increase in the number of unemployed people in September.The bears may have luck on their side as the technical indicators are not confirming oversold conditions yet.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – EURJPY posts strong fight with 163.45-164.00 barrier

EURJPY looks neutral in short-term view200-day SMA seems to be another real struggle for bullsMACD and stochastics weaken their momentumEURJPPY has been stuck within a tight range of 162.30 and 163.45, remaining in a broader sideways channel of 155.15-164.00. The pair has been consolidating over the last seven days and needs a further boost for a s
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Quick brief – Tech stocks drive Wall Street to fresh highs

S&P 500 advances to all-time high; Nasdaq 100 gains the mostTech stocks cheer on China’s stimulus news as AI optimism prevailsWall Street celebrated Columbus Day with fresh highs, with the Nasdaq 100 trading almost 1.0% up at a three-month high of 20,493 and the S&P 500 index surging 0.50% to unlock an all-time high of 5,840.Bank stocks excluding Goldman Sachs could not attract fresh impetus following Friday’s encouraging earnings from JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, while Tesla’s stock
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD posts another fresh 2-month peak

USDCAD’s bullish wave still continues near 1.3800Technical oscillators near overbought levelsUSDCAD surged to a new two-month high earlier today, just below the round number 1.3800. After completion of the double bottom pattern and the break above the 1.3650 support, the short-term view switched to positive. The pair added around 2.8%, with the technical oscillators confirming the upside move.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY tests new 3½-month high

USDJPY makes an attempt for steeper bullish actionsMACD and RSI confirm upside momentumUSDJPY is rising towards a fresh three-and-half-month high of 149.71, posting the fifth consecutive green 4-hour session. The next strong battle likely awaits at the 150.00 psychological level, but the next resistance lies at the 151.90 level, taken from the inside swing low on July 25. But first, the price needs to overcome the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which is at 151.20.Otherwise, a decline ben
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – US 30 index celebrates another record high

US 30 index strengthens uptrend to all-time high of 42,904Short-term bias is positive, but the way up may not be straightThe US 30 index (cash) hit an all-time high of 42,904 in less than a month on Friday and closed above the constraining line at 42,550, raising confidence that its record rally has more room to go.Having bounced off its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), the bulls may face immediate resistance within the 43,155-43,500 constraining region given the overbought signals comin
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

EURCHF is in the green, back inside the developing patternThe medium-term downward trend is still in placeMomentum indicators remain inconclusiveEURCHF is trading higher again today, a tad below the busy 0.9403-0.9423 area. Last week’s break below the lower trendline of the developing contracting triangle proved premature, as EURCHF quickly returned inside this pattern.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted as China stimulus underwhelms

China announces more stimulus details but no word on size of packageAttention turns to week’s other events as stocks unimpressedEuro and pound flat as ECB decision and UK CPI awaitedChina pledges more support, stocks steadyChinese officials unveiled more measures to shore up the country’s embattled property sector while also pledging further support for businesses and consumers in two separate announcements on Saturday and Monday.
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